The probability that NBER will someday determine a national recession began in the US between December 2025 and December 2026 ...

Take, for example, the fact that after months of dismal jobs numbers and recession predictions, a recent White House press ...

In September, 1639, John Winthrop, the governor of the Massachusetts Bay Colony, recorded in his journal a dreadful tale of Puritan true crime. One Robert Keayne had prospered as a London merchant ...

Below, Gene Ludwig shares five key insights from his new book, The Mismeasurement of America: How Outdated Government Statistics Mask the Economic Struggle of Everyday Americans. Americans keep ...

Washington, November 17, 2025 – Yemen’s economy remained under severe strain in the first half of 2025 as the continued blockade on oil exports, rising inflation, and declining aid have compounded ...

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An end to the government shutdown will mean economic data starts to flow again, giving the Federal Reserve some vital information before its Dec. 9-10 policy meeting. But the Fed will still likely ...

Is the German government doing the right thing to get the economy moving again? A panel of five selected economists isn't convinced. https://p.dw.com/p/53Vfh More ...

Early in her career, Prof. Susan C. Stokes saw a wave of democratization. In Southern Europe, Latin America and the former Soviet Union, authoritarian regimes were tumbling. But in this first quarter ...

The surprising resilience of the US economy this year is masking underlying weakness among low- and middle-income households, as higher-income Americans continue to drive growth. This dichotomy ...

We introduce a novel monthly index to measure developments in the provision of official economic statistics based on publicly disclosed observance records of subscribers to the IMF Data Standards ...

Bank of America Chairman and CEO Brian Moynihan cautioned that while the American consumer remains a powerful force keeping the economy afloat, the middle class is beginning to feel the strain.